Perceived Threat to National Security: Serbia considers Kosovo a part of its territory and refuses to recognize its independence. A military pact involving Kosovo is seen as a direct challenge to Serbia’s claims.
Violation of Previous Military Accords: Serbian officials argue that the agreement contradicts the 1996 military accords and undermines regional security mechanisms.
Serbia’s Strategic Alliances with Russia and China: The trilateral defense agreement may push Serbia closer to its traditional allies, Russia and China, for military support and political backing.
In response to the agreement, Serbia has called for an urgent diplomatic clarification from Albania and Croatia. The Serbian Foreign Ministry has also emphasized that any military collaboration in the Balkans should involve Belgrade to prevent further fragmentation of the region’s security landscape.
Kosovo’s Position: A Step Toward Defense Autonomy
Kosovo’s leadership has welcomed the agreement, framing it as a crucial step in strengthening its defense posture. Kosovo’s Prime Minister Albin Kurti has emphasized that the pact enhances Kosovo’s regional security standing and fosters stronger ties with NATO members Albania and Croatia. Furthermore, Kosovo’s government has dismissed Serbian concerns, arguing that the agreement is not hostile and does not target any specific country. Kosovo’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has also used this opportunity to highlight Serbia’s historical role in regional conflicts, particularly its military interventions during the Yugoslav Wars of the 1990s. Kosovo has further accused Serbia of destabilizing the region through its growing defense cooperation with Russia and Iran.
Croatia and Albania’s Strategic Calculations
Both Croatia and Albania have taken a firm stance against Serbia’s criticisms. Croatian Defense Minister Ivan Anušić has stated that Croatia no longer seeks Belgrade’s approval for
its military actions and will continue strengthening its security alliances. Similarly, Albanian officials have defended the agreement as a natural evolution of regional military cooperation
aimed at safeguarding peace rather than provoking conflict. Albania and Croatia are both NATO members, and their support for Kosovo’s security infrastructure aligns with broader Western strategic interests in the Balkans. By engaging in military cooperation with Kosovo, they reinforce NATO’s presence in the region and counteract Serbia’s influence, particularly in light of its military ties with Russia.
NATO’s Perspective and Potential Future Developments
NATO has acknowledged the agreement but has refrained from making a definitive statement about its implications. A NATO official told Radio Free Europe that the alliance is
monitoring developments but has left it to the signatory states to define their objectives. This suggests that while NATO does not explicitly endorse the agreement, it does not view it as a
threat to regional stability. The trilateral defense pact also leaves open the possibility of future expansion. Some analysts speculate that Bulgaria, North Macedonia, or Montenegro could potentially join, further consolidating a regional security bloc. If the initiative evolves into a more structured alliance, it could create a counterbalance to Serbia’s military positioning and solidify the Western Balkans’ alignment with Euro-Atlantic security structures.